Saturday, April 04, 2020

Sanders losing lacks luster

The results of the past elections and the polls for the upcoming primaries and caucuses are pretty clear. Sanders has lost significant support from 2016.

In every single primary, caucus and/or poll Sanders has lost ground except for Louisiana 0, District of Columbia 0, Virgin Islands +11 and Puerto Rico +4. Even in the states he has won he has lost ground New Hampshire - 34, Nevada -1. In states that he won in 2020, he lost or is expected to lose ground such as Colorado -23, Minnesota -31, Oklahoma -26, Vermont -34, Idaho -36, Washington -39. His lack luster performance is losing.

Here are the results of the primaries/polls. He might win Indiana but other than that every remaining state is Biden's. The numbers in red represents the difference from 2020 and 2016. 0's are in green. An increase in his percentage from 2016 is in black.

State2016 Results2020 ResultsDifference
Feb
Iowa4926-23
New Hampshire6026-34
Nevada4746-1
South Carolina2620-6
Super Tuesday
Alabama1917-2
Arkansas3022-8
American Samoa2511-14
California4633-13
Colorado5936-23
Massachusetts4826-22
Minnesota6130-31
Oklahoma5125-26
Tennessee3225-7
Texas3330-3
Virginia3523-12
Vermont8551-34
Utah7934-45
Maine6432-32
March 10
Idaho7842-36
Michigan4938-11
Mississipi1615-1
Missouri4934-15
North Dakota6453-11
Washington7233-39
Democrats Abroad68
Northern Marianas6528-37
Late March
Florida3322-11
Arizona4129-12
Illinois4835-13
Georgia2814-14
Noth Carolina4022-18
Ohio4331-12
Alaska7947-32
Hawaii6943-26
April
Wisconsin5634-22
Wyoming5540-15
New York4140-1
Connecticut4625-21
Delaware3922-17
Maryland3330-3
Pennsylvania4331-12
Rhode Island5444-10
Louisiana23230
May
Indiana5250-2
Guan4037-3
West Virgina4638-8
Kentucky4635-11
Oregon5643-13
Kansas6737-30
Nebraska5743-14
June
Virgin Islands122311
Puerto Rico37414
Montana5139-12
New Jersey3634-2
New Mexico4840-8
South Dakota4938-11
District of Columbia20200

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